Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.001335 0.001450 0.001573 0.001716 0.001878 0.002056 0.002267
2025-11-30 0.001180 0.001331 0.001503 0.001714 0.001969 0.002269 0.002656
2025-12-07 0.001059 0.001226 0.001422 0.001673 0.001991 0.002386 0.002925
2025-12-14 0.000977 0.001154 0.001369 0.001652 0.002025 0.002509 0.003206
2025-12-21 0.000902 0.001082 0.001306 0.001610 0.002022 0.002578 0.003414
2025-12-28 0.000813 0.000986 0.001204 0.001506 0.001925 0.002504 0.003405
2026-01-04 0.000751 0.000920 0.001137 0.001442 0.001875 0.002489 0.003476
2026-01-11 0.000712 0.000882 0.001103 0.001420 0.001879 0.002551 0.003669
2026-01-18 0.000683 0.000854 0.001081 0.001412 0.001902 0.002640 0.003914
2026-01-25 0.000750 0.000959 0.001245 0.001681 0.002362 0.003455 0.005521
2026-02-01 0.000702 0.000904 0.001182 0.001610 0.002290 0.003401 0.005561
2026-02-08 0.000669 0.000868 0.001144 0.001575 0.002271 0.003435 0.005770
2026-02-15 0.000651 0.000855 0.001143 0.001604 0.002371 0.003709 0.006556
2026-02-22 0.000626 0.000829 0.001123 0.001602 0.002421 0.003901 0.007231
2026-03-01 0.000593 0.000793 0.001084 0.001565 0.002406 0.003970 0.007645
2026-03-08 0.000568 0.000765 0.001056 0.001546 0.002419 0.004095 0.008227
2026-03-15 0.000541 0.000733 0.001019 0.001507 0.002394 0.004137 0.008612
2026-03-22 0.000502 0.000682 0.000951 0.001412 0.002255 0.003927 0.008289
2026-03-29 0.000474 0.000647 0.000906 0.001354 0.002181 0.003849 0.008311
2026-04-05 0.000457 0.000627 0.000884 0.001333 0.002177 0.003921 0.008776
2026-04-12 0.000444 0.000612 0.000870 0.001326 0.002198 0.004049 0.009445
2026-04-19 0.000482 0.000679 0.000992 0.001572 0.002757 0.005541 0.015318
2026-04-26 0.000458 0.000647 0.000948 0.001507 0.002661 0.005404 0.015260